Gimnasia Concepción vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
GIM
50%
27%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 2
JUV
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
JAN
4 - 1
GIM
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GIM
2 - 1
CEN
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
GYT
0 - 1
GIM
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GAF
0 - 0
JUV
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 0
GAF
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GAF
4 - 1
CCS
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SJO
2 - 0
GAF
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
GAF
0 - 0
CFE
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |