Gimnasia Concepción vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
8º
9º
13
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
9DJ
3 - 1
GIM
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 0
SLP
25%
27%
48%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 1
GIM
61%
24%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
SPB
24%
27%
50%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 1
GIM
68%
22%
10%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
DPR
2 - 1
LIN
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
9DJ
2 - 1
DPR
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 1
SLP
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DFR
3 - 0
DPR
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 3
SPB
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |