Copa Argentina 1/128
Global 2-4
Gimnasia Concepción vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
DPR
1 - 2
GIM
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
DFR
2 - 2
GIM
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
GIM
3 - 1
LIB
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CCS
4 - 1
GIM
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
GIM
3 - 0
DPR
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
DPR
1 - 2
GIM
34%
25%
42%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
DPR
1 - 1
DHA
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 1
DPR
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
DPR
1 - 0
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
GIM
3 - 0
DPR
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |