Gimnasia Concepción vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 3
GIM
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 1
SLP
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 0
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
DPR
0 - 0
GIM
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 1
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
DPR
1 - 2
SLP
36%
27%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
DPR
74%
17%
10%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 1
DPR
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
DPR
0 - 0
GIM
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SLP
1 - 0
DPR
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |