Gimnasia Concepción vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
8º
9º
38
6º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 0
GIM
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 0
GIM
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 0
IND
39%
29%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GIM
4 - 1
PAR
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DFR
0 - 1
IND
30%
29%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SLP
2 - 0
DFR
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
DFR
0 - 0
LIN
65%
22%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DPR
3 - 3
DFR
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DFR
0 - 0
CEN
23%
28%
50%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |