Gimnasia Concepción vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 0
GIM
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 1
DFR
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DPR
1 - 0
GIM
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 2
SPB
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SAR
0 - 0
GIM
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CDN
1 - 2
RAC
22%
29%
49%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
CFE
1 - 0
CDN
65%
22%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CDN
0 - 0
CEN
25%
28%
47%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
CDN
59%
23%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CDN
1 - 1
DFR
42%
27%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |