Gimnasia Concepción vs Américo Tesorieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VSR
0 - 2
GIM
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
GIM
2 - 1
AND
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
GIM
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GIM
3 - 1
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TEX
1 - 0
GIM
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Américo Tesorieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
AMT
0 - 3
SLO
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SJO
5 - 2
AMT
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AMT
2 - 1
VSR
32%
24%
45%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AND
2 - 1
AMT
62%
20%
19%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
AMT
5 - 4
CON
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +4 |