Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
8º
9º
26
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SLP
6 - 1
GIM
54%
25%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
DFR
33%
28%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
GIM
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 1
DHA
15%
26%
59%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IND
3 - 0
GIM
49%
28%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
9DJ
2 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DPR
3 - 1
9DJ
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
9DJ
0 - 1
SLP
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DFR
2 - 0
9DJ
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
9DJ
1 - 0
SPB
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |