FA Cup 1/32
Global 3-2
Gillingham vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
GIL
2 - 2
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
WIG
2 - 0
GIL
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1999 |
GIL
2 - 1
COL
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
WAL
1 - 1
GIL
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
GIL
1 - 0
BCF
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
WAL
2 - 0
BOL
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
CRY
3 - 2
WAL
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1999 |
WAL
1 - 2
TRA
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
BAR
3 - 2
WAL
68%
19%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
WAL
1 - 1
GIL
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |