Gillingham vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MIL
1 - 1
GIL
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
GIL
2 - 1
LUT
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
GIL
0 - 0
CUM
26%
28%
47%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
GIL
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
GIL
2 - 1
BOU
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
CUM
0 - 0
SWA
37%
26%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
SWA
1 - 2
BOU
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
HAR
1 - 3
SWA
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
SWA
2 - 2
BRO
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 1
SWA
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |