FA Cup 1/64
Global 2-1
Gillingham vs Stockport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
GIL
1 - 1
ROC
32%
27%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BCF
4 - 0
GIL
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
GIL
4 - 0
ROT
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BCF
0 - 1
GIL
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
GIL
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
STO
2 - 0
BHA
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CRE
0 - 3
STO
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
STO
5 - 0
YEO
63%
20%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
MIL
1 - 0
STO
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
YEO
1 - 1
STO
27%
26%
48%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |