EFL Cup 1/64
Global 0-2
Gillingham vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
YOR
1 - 1
GIL
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
SOU
1 - 0
GIL
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
GIL
0 - 1
WAL
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
GIL
1 - 1
WRE
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
SOU
0 - 0
GIL
35%
29%
37%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 1
STF
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
SOU
1 - 0
GIL
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
SCA
1 - 2
SOU
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1998 |
LUT
1 - 0
SOU
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
SOU
1 - 3
WRE
36%
29%
36%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |