Gillingham vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 1
GIL
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
GUL
2 - 1
GIL
33%
27%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GIL
4 - 1
BUR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GIL
4 - 0
ALD
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
OXF
0 - 0
GIL
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SCU
0 - 3
MKD
26%
26%
49%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
SCU
2 - 3
PNE
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 1
SCU
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SCU
1 - 1
BRE
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
STE
1 - 0
SCU
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |