Gillingham vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
COV
4 - 1
GIL
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GIL
3 - 1
BCF
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
GIL
1 - 1
YEO
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
STE
3 - 0
GIL
17%
21%
62%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WAL
3 - 2
GIL
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DON
0 - 2
ROC
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 2
WIG
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 1
SWI
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
ROC
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |