League Two Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Gillingham vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 0
GIL
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 1
GIL
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GIL
0 - 0
BCF
43%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 1
GIL
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
GIL
2 - 1
DAG
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 0
GIL
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 1
GIL
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LUT
1 - 1
ROC
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 2
DAR
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
STF
1 - 1
ROC
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |