Gillingham vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
46.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 4
GIL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 2
GIL
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
OXF
0 - 1
GIL
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
GIL
1 - 3
CRE
34%
27%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GIL
0 - 2
DOV
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
STA
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
STO
0 - 5
POR
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
WYC
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
POR
4 - 0
DAR
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |