Gillingham vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
GIL
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
SWI
2 - 0
GIL
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 0
OXF
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GUL
2 - 5
GIL
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 1
POR
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
ROT
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 3
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
POR
3 - 0
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 1
CRA
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |