Gillingham vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 1
GIL
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
GIL
2 - 2
SWI
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GIL
2 - 0
YEO
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
YEO
1 - 2
GIL
57%
22%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MKD
4 - 2
GIL
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ASV
0 - 0
NEW
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 2
MAC
13%
20%
67%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 0
RSO
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
HUR
2 - 2
NEW
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
S04
1 - 3
NEW
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |