Gillingham vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
DON
1 - 2
GIL
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
GIL
0 - 2
SCU
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
BPO
1 - 1
GIL
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
MIL
2 - 1
GIL
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
GIL
0 - 1
NOR
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
MIL
0 - 1
BHA
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
MIL
0 - 0
BPO
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
CHE
3 - 2
MIL
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
MIL
2 - 1
GIL
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
MIL
1 - 0
OLD
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |