Gillingham vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
WAT
2 - 0
GIL
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
LEI
2 - 0
GIL
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
GIL
1 - 0
PLY
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
OPA
1 - 0
GIL
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
SUN
1 - 1
GIL
69%
20%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
MIL
0 - 0
QPR
50%
25%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
MIL
1 - 2
WOL
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
NTT
1 - 2
MIL
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
WOL
2 - 0
MIL
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
MIL
1 - 2
ROT
63%
22%
14%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |