Gillingham vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
OPA
2 - 1
GIL
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
WBA
1 - 0
GIL
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
GIL
3 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
OXF
1 - 2
GIL
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
SHE
0 - 0
GIL
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
CRY
1 - 3
MIL
46%
25%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
CRE
1 - 0
MIL
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
MIL
0 - 2
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
MIL
2 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
BIR
4 - 0
MIL
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |