Gillingham vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
STF
2 - 3
GIL
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
GIL
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SCU
5 - 0
GIL
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
GIL
1 - 1
SWI
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GIL
2 - 1
BCF
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 3
LUT
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
LUT
0 - 1
LEE
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STE
2 - 1
LUT
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
LUT
2 - 1
NEW
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 1
YEO
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |