Gillingham vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GIL
2 - 0
GUL
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
GIL
0 - 0
ROT
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
GIL
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
GIL
1 - 2
SOU
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
STA
4 - 3
GIL
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
HER
57%
24%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
SWI
14%
24%
62%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
HER
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
CHE
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HER
0 - 2
STF
19%
26%
55%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |