Gillingham vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
COV
0 - 0
GIL
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
GIL
1 - 0
BRA
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
BUR
2 - 0
GIL
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
GIL
0 - 1
WAL
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
STO
0 - 0
GIL
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
CRY
1 - 0
STO
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
MIL
3 - 2
CRY
43%
25%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
CRY
0 - 0
ROT
60%
22%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
GRI
1 - 4
CRY
30%
26%
45%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2003 |
CRY
0 - 1
WAT
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |