Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
WAL
1 - 1
GIL
41%
25%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
GIL
1 - 0
MIL
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
NOR
2 - 1
GIL
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
GIL
3 - 1
NTT
53%
24%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
SHW
0 - 0
GIL
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
CRE
2 - 2
SHE
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
WBA
4 - 1
CRE
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRE
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
PNE
2 - 2
CRE
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
CRE
1 - 1
OPA
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |