Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
BIR
1 - 0
GIL
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
GIL
0 - 0
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2000 |
WAT
0 - 0
GIL
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
WIM
4 - 4
GIL
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
GIL
2 - 2
BOL
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2000 |
CRE
1 - 0
HUR
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
CRE
0 - 4
WIM
23%
26%
52%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2000 |
OPA
2 - 1
CRE
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
SHE
1 - 0
CRE
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
CRE
0 - 2
BIR
24%
26%
51%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |