Gillingham vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 0
GIL
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
GIL
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
SWA
3 - 1
GIL
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GIL
4 - 1
CUM
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WOK
1 - 1
GIL
23%
23%
53%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
SAL
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
MCI
54%
19%
26%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 5
CHE
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
DER
2 - 1
CHE
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
SWI
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |