Gillingham vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WOK
1 - 1
GIL
23%
23%
53%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 3
GIL
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 1
GIL
10%
18%
73%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 4
GIL
13%
20%
67%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GIL
2 - 0
WAT
16%
23%
62%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STO
1 - 2
CUM
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
GAT
2 - 0
CUM
53%
22%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 1
CUM
35%
24%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
STM
2 - 2
CUM
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 0
CUM
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |