Gillingham vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
GIL
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
GIL
2 - 1
BOU
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GIL
0 - 3
CRE
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
DON
2 - 1
GIL
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
HAR
4 - 0
GIL
53%
23%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
CUM
2 - 0
NOR
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
LEY
0 - 3
CUM
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
SWI
2 - 2
CUM
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
CUM
2 - 1
LUT
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CUM
2 - 0
BHA
56%
24%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |