Gillingham vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
DER
2 - 0
GIL
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
GIL
1 - 1
CRE
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
GIL
1 - 0
BUR
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
QPR
1 - 1
GIL
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
PNE
1 - 1
GIL
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 0
REA
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
LEI
1 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
PNE
3 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 2
WIG
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
STO
1 - 3
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |