Gillingham vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
GIL
1 - 1
YEO
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
STE
3 - 0
GIL
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WAL
3 - 2
GIL
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GIL
1 - 1
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
GIL
2 - 1
SCU
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BCF
4 - 0
WIG
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BCF
4 - 3
BPO
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
STF
2 - 0
BCF
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
BCF
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BCF
0 - 0
ROC
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |