Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
COV
1 - 2
GIL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2002 |
GIL
3 - 3
STO
69%
18%
12%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
PNE
0 - 2
GIL
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
CRY
3 - 1
GIL
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
GIL
0 - 1
SHE
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
OXF
0 - 0
BRO
41%
27%
31%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2002 |
BRO
4 - 1
SWA
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
GUL
2 - 1
BRO
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2002 |
STF
0 - 1
BRO
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
BRO
1 - 1
SCU
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |