EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-6
Gillingham vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
OXF
1 - 2
GIL
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
GIL
2 - 1
OLD
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
STO
1 - 1
GIL
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
GIL
2 - 2
WYC
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
GIL
2 - 0
BHA
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 1
BOL
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
BOL
3 - 3
BIR
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
BOL
0 - 1
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
BOL
5 - 3
DAR
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
IPS
1 - 0
BOL
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |