EFL Cup 1/64
Global 0-4
Gillingham vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
GIL
0 - 0
PNE
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
GIL
2 - 0
STF
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1997 |
GIL
2 - 0
WAL
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
MIL
0 - 2
GIL
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
GIL
2 - 3
BPO
43%
29%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
BIR
2 - 0
STO
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
IPS
1 - 1
BIR
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
BIR
2 - 0
OXF
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
BRA
0 - 2
BIR
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1997 |
BIR
0 - 0
TRA
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |