Gillingham vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
GIL
0 - 2
CHE
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
GUL
1 - 1
GIL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 0
NOR
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
STO
1 - 5
GIL
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
WYC
1 - 0
GIL
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ALD
3 - 2
CRE
30%
25%
44%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 1
ALD
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
OXF
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |