Gil Vicente vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
TRO
1 - 0
GFC
30%
30%
41%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
GFC
3 - 0
EST
62%
22%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
GFC
4 - 5
PEN
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 1
GFC
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
GFC
0 - 0
POR
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
VAR
2 - 0
FAT
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
POR
0 - 4
VAR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
VAR
0 - 4
LEX
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
VIZ
1 - 3
VAR
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
TRO
2 - 0
VAR
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |