Prev. Taça da Liga 1ra Ronda Final
Global 1-0
Gil Vicente vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 1
GFC
34%
26%
41%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
OLH
1 - 0
GFC
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GFC
1 - 1
AVE
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BOA
0 - 1
GFC
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GFC
1 - 2
VAR
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 1
GFC
34%
26%
41%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 1
GON
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 1
OLI
63%
23%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 1
UDL
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SCF
1 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |