Gil Vicente vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
66%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
9º
18º
11º
8
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 10% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 25% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 20% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
GFC
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
4 - 2
AVE
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 0
GFC
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 0
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
GFC
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 2
SPB
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 1
MOR
66%
21%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 1
RAP
62%
20%
17%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 1
SPB
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
SPB
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |