Gil Vicente vs Sport Lisboa e Nelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
AVE
2 - 2
GFC
33%
30%
37%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GFC
1 - 1
FAT
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
POR
0 - 3
GFC
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
GFC
3 - 0
SPC
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
GFC
18%
28%
55%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |