Gil Vicente vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 2
GFC
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GFC
0 - 1
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 0
GFC
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
GFC
4 - 0
TRO
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
GFC
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
CHA
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
BMA
2 - 0
POR
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
OLI
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 0
POR
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |