Gil Vicente vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
UDL
3 - 0
GFC
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
GFC
2 - 2
SCP
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2005 |
BOA
2 - 0
GFC
57%
26%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ACA
2 - 0
GFC
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
GFC
2 - 0
PAÇ
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 0
ACA
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
VST
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEN
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 3
SLB
18%
23%
60%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |