Gil Vicente vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
UNM
4 - 1
GFC
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
GFC
2 - 0
BMA
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
SLB
5 - 0
GFC
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
GFC
2 - 3
SPB
53%
28%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
GFC
2 - 0
FAM
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
PEN
0 - 0
BOA
24%
31%
46%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
SAL
1 - 1
PEN
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
FAR
4 - 1
PEN
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
PEN
1 - 1
UNM
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
PEN
2 - 2
BMA
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |