Gil Vicente vs Ol. Moscavide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
PEN
1 - 1
GFC
36%
28%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
GFC
2 - 2
VAR
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
VIZ
0 - 1
GFC
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
GFC
0 - 0
OLH
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
GON
1 - 0
GFC
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ol. Moscavide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
OLM
4 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
OLM
1 - 1
POR
56%
23%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 0
OLM
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
OLM
2 - 1
VAR
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
VIZ
1 - 2
OLM
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |