Gil Vicente vs Nacional analysis

Gil Vicente Nacional
68 ELO 73
0.3% Tilt -7%
501º General ELO ranking 733º
12º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
37.5%
Gil Vicente
26.7%
Draw
35.8%
Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
Gil Vicente
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.8%
Win probability
Nacional
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gil Vicente
+6%
-7%
Nacional

ELO progression

Gil Vicente
Nacional
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2005
SLB
Benfica
2 - 0
Gil Vicente
GFC
73%
18%
9%
67 85 18 0
04 Mar. 2005
GFC
Gil Vicente
1 - 3
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
50%
26%
24%
68 69 1 -1
25 Feb. 2005
SPB
Sporting Braga
2 - 1
Gil Vicente
GFC
62%
23%
16%
68 75 7 0
19 Feb. 2005
GFC
Gil Vicente
0 - 1
Académica
ACA
57%
24%
20%
69 64 5 -1
13 Feb. 2005
MOR
Moreirense
1 - 0
Gil Vicente
GFC
46%
26%
28%
69 67 2 0

Matches

Nacional
Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2005
FCP
Porto
0 - 4
Nacional
NAC
70%
19%
11%
72 88 16 0
06 Mar. 2005
NAC
Nacional
0 - 1
Benfica
SLB
28%
25%
47%
72 85 13 0
27 Feb. 2005
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
1 - 1
Nacional
NAC
42%
27%
31%
72 69 3 0
18 Feb. 2005
NAC
Nacional
1 - 0
Sporting Braga
SPB
50%
25%
25%
72 76 4 0
13 Feb. 2005
ACA
Académica
1 - 0
Nacional
NAC
35%
27%
39%
72 63 9 0