Gil Vicente vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 1
GFC
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
GFC
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
UDL
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 0
BEL
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VST
0 - 0
GFC
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
NAV
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
MOR
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 2
BEL
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOR
60%
20%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |