Gil Vicente vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
PEN
3 - 1
GFC
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
BMA
2 - 2
GFC
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
GFC
2 - 1
VST
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
SLB
2 - 0
GFC
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
GFC
1 - 0
VAR
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2001 |
PAN
0 - 0
FCP
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
FCP
3 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
FCP
2 - 1
UDL
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2001 |
FCP
1 - 0
RBK
58%
20%
22%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 1
FCP
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |