Gil Vicente vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
18º
13º
27
8º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 77 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 68 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 65 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 45 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 31 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 27 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 27 |
18º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
AVE
1 - 0
GFC
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GFC
3 - 1
FCP
22%
24%
53%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GFC
1 - 0
MOR
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
GFC
1 - 1
RIO
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
ARO
1 - 1
GFC
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
EST
1 - 0
VIT
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 3
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ESA
2 - 4
EST
36%
26%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
EST
2 - 2
MOR
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
SLB
3 - 0
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |