Gil Vicente vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 0
GFC
32%
29%
39%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
GFC
4 - 0
TRO
53%
25%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
GFC
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
GFC
1 - 1
SCF
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
BMA
2 - 1
GFC
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 3
TRO
19%
27%
55%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 2
BMA
21%
28%
52%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SCF
3 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAR
60%
24%
17%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |