Gil Vicente vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
GFC
1 - 2
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 1
SPB
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
GFC
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SER
0 - 3
GFC
5%
12%
83%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 1
EST
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VIZ
0 - 1
ARO
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 0
SCP
11%
19%
71%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
ARO
31%
29%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GDF
0 - 2
ARO
10%
16%
75%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
4 - 1
FAM
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |