Gil Vicente U15 vs ADC Aveleda Sub 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93%
Win probability
3.79
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4%
6-0
6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
+6
7.5%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.4%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
5.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.1%
1.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
2º
1º
3
4º
4º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ADB
2 - 3
GFC
13%
16%
71%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VRZ
1 - 3
GFC
25%
21%
54%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GFC
2 - 1
ADB
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 0
GFC
95%
4%
1%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GFC
5 - 3
RIO
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
ADC Aveleda Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ADC
0 - 4
PAL
20%
19%
61%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 0
ADC
72%
16%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ADC
0 - 20
VIT
3%
8%
89%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
VRZ
1 - 2
ADC
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ADC
3 - 3
ADB
36%
22%
43%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |